Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 86.572052 96.638394 106.876757 118.038656 129.834637 141.901717 155.150914
2025-09-21 69.989610 84.465624 99.801540 117.133592 136.058690 155.988138 178.456016
2025-09-28 58.658901 75.354018 93.610567 114.799617 138.476588 163.905698 193.074862
2025-10-05 53.858012 72.722568 93.867766 118.903946 147.352427 178.333521 214.298188
2025-10-12 49.155188 69.611008 93.077093 121.368473 153.995101 189.955406 232.125461
2025-10-19 43.526091 64.866013 89.948748 120.750696 156.797779 196.994299 244.591048
2025-10-26 38.680839 60.650464 87.093154 120.134747 159.329956 203.500962 256.257529
2025-11-02 35.083551 57.693260 85.505818 120.802313 163.169846 211.350252 269.317553
2025-11-09 31.184438 54.032124 82.803686 119.913539 164.999051 216.739841 279.444599
2025-11-16 28.175198 51.311710 81.091615 120.070926 167.939164 223.313836 290.845931
2025-11-23 24.955945 48.047366 78.488539 118.960311 169.220313 227.840137 299.787706
2025-11-30 23.078648 46.524256 78.037285 120.453441 173.586610 235.947134 312.856958
2025-12-07 21.419727 45.225546 77.841410 122.266991 178.377459 244.621353 326.689715
2025-12-14 18.950660 42.522070 75.622423 121.384574 179.772447 249.201031 335.684036
2025-12-21 16.236952 39.188460 72.358605 118.996029 179.173216 251.292299 341.657025
2025-12-28 15.813354 39.473474 74.115387 123.185396 186.811400 263.321095 359.428437
2026-01-04 14.924477 38.916945 74.633514 125.699556 192.316388 272.755996 374.111832
2026-01-11 13.217003 36.828460 72.856353 125.069364 193.776176 277.229602 382.840538
2026-01-18 11.665506 34.853332 71.140143 124.440974 195.177189 281.586702 391.395505
2026-01-25 10.575929 33.600832 70.422899 125.122017 198.223163 287.937647 402.332103
2026-02-01 9.211010 31.679891 68.604645 124.215294 199.162177 291.652573 410.058883
2026-02-08 8.202658 30.333696 67.592745 124.375864 201.451275 297.012383 419.758991
2026-02-15 7.026124 28.487982 65.709310 123.242751 201.994356 300.164015 426.748822